Tag: management

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The blank canvas and the seasoned eye.

Ten years ago, streaming a movie over Starlink at 30,000 feet would have sounded like fantasy. We are about to be just as wrong about AI, and the people who get the next decade right will not be the ones you expect.

We are reliably bad at imagining ten years out, and we miss in one direction: we underestimate. AI is the next thing we are underestimating. The instinct in most rooms is that the young will lead and everyone else will catch up. That instinct is wrong twice over, and the answer to why is older than any of the tools.

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It’s not your opinion, it’s your expertise that matters

Everyone has plenty of them, and sadly, many of us are not afraid of sharing them regularly. Not only that, but they often have absolutely no relation with reality. Problematically, the more authoritative your position, the more significant their effect. Yes, I’m referring to opinions. Yet ultimately, what matters is expertise, not opinions.

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